Real Madrid vs AC Milan – Preview, Predictions and Live Stats – Champions League Round 4

AC Milan heads off to Santiago Bernabeu in the 4th round of the Champions League. Both teams are struggling domestically. AC Milan is in the 7th spot of the table in Serie A. Real Madrid is in the 2nd spot of La Liga’s standings, but they are 9 points behind rival Barcelona. Although ranking 2nd in your league should not count as struggling, with Real Madrid’s superstar locker room, the results have been underwhelming.

Real Madrid has been completely humiliated in El Clasico, with Barcelona scoring 4 times through Robert Lewandowski and a hat-trick by Raphinha. They have completely decimated Real Madrid and Kylian Mbappé had a very disappointing performance. The Barcelona high line constantly caught the striker offside, and the few times he bypassed the defense, Inaki Pena was on guard.

For AC Milan, their biggest achievement so far was a win in the Milan Derby. The Rossoneri won the three points against rival Inter Milan with a late goal from Gabbia. Although they won the derby, they had disappointing results in the Champions League. Milan lost 3-1 against Liverpool and 1-0 against Leverkusen and only managed a 3-1 victory against Club Brugge.

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Real Madrid vs AC Milan Live Stats

Follow real-time stats for Real Madrid vs AC Milan, including the main events and lineups! The data is updated every minute!

 

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Injuries

Both teams struggle with injuries. Real Madrid has to play the entire season without Ballon d’Or contender Dani Carvajal, who has an ACL injury. Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois is also suffering from a muscle injury. Although he has been back in training, it’s not sure whether Ancelotti will count on him or will start Lunin between the posts.

Milan is without Matteo Gabbia, who is out because of a muscle injury. Luka Jovic is another important absentee for Fonseca’s side. Tammy Abraham and Davide Calabria might not be up to start in this duel as well.

Real Madrid:
– D. Alaba – Knee Injury
– D. Carvajal – Knee Injury
– Rodrygo – Muscle Injury
– A. Rudiger – Muscle Injury

AC Milan:
– I. Bennacer – Calf Injury
– A. Florenzi – Knee Injury
– M. Gabbia – Muscle Injury
– L. Jovic – Injury
– T. Abraham – Shoulder Injury
– D. Calabria – Calf Injury

Fonseca is not afraid,but should he be?

Although they have one win in the Champions League against Brugge, Fonseca is not afraid to face Real Madrid. They suffered a loss against Barcelona and had a disappointing start to the season compared to the expectations for Los Blancos. Yet Real Madrid has not played this weekend, as their fixture against Valencia was postponed. They come off a humiliating loss, but they come rested. And while they were not spectacular in La Liga, they have put up a show against Borussia Dortmund, where they came back from a two goal deficit.

AC Milan did not get a win against Real Madrid since 2014. Last time they met, the Rossoneri got a 1-0 victory, but it was in a friendly game played this summer. Real Madrid will look to pound AC Milan through the left wing with Vinicius and Mbappe. They generated the second highest xG in the Champions League, with 8.66, compared to AC Milan’s mere 2,7 and scored twice as much per game.

So while it is admirable that Fonseca does not shy away from this game, I do not see the reason for his calmness coming into this encounter.

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Real Madrid vs AC Milan Predictions

Real Madrid are the heavy favourites in this game, with the OPTA Supercomputer giving them a 67,8% chance to win this duel, while AC Milan’s chances are slim, at just 14,4%. Here are a few predictions and tips for this game:

  • Real Madrid to Win: While Fonseca is not afraid, this does not mean he will conquer Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid, although shaky, is still one of the top teams in Europe and their Champions League nights at the Bernabeu are almost never disappointing.
  • AC Milan Under 2,5 Goals: Real Madrid has not been solid defensively. Apart from Barcelona’s four goals, they have also conceded two against Bayer Leverkusen and one in the other two Champions League games. AC Milan might score once or twice in this game, but not more than that.
  • Bold Choice – Vinicius to Score or Assist: Fresh of a disappointment against Barcelona and an enormous scandal in the Ballon d’Or Vinicius might look to let it all out against Milan. He has three goals in the Champions League and no assists so far, so this game might be the one where Vinicius marks his first assist of the season in European Competitions.

Where to Watch Real Madrid vs AC Milan

The game is available on the following, courtesy of livesoccertv.com

United States: Paramount+, fuboTV, TUDN.com, Univision NOW, TUDN App, ViX, TUDN USA, UniMás
United Kingdon: discovery+, discovery+ App, TNT Sports 4
Spain: Movistar+, Movistar Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+

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